Thursday, August 12, 2010
Fantasy Football - Wide Receiver Sleepers
Friday, August 6, 2010
Drob likes girls...?
While Drob is yakking "On a Boat" because his stomach could never handle the rolling seas, I'll talk just straight up blog about him. I have never questioned Drob's asexuality but I have always questioned his approach. Seriously, "Who Dat" sums up my perspective on Drob’s sensitivity. While most guys spend their time on the web oodaling and googleing nip slips, upskirts, ass shots, and girls on girls on girls on guys on cats on fish. Drob is looking for pictures of girls eyes… What a nice guy! Then I see this shit, he completely dominated this Kelly Karkoff fox. After all, Smiley faces with three parentheses are synonymous with fuck me. Not to mention she’s from New York and is totally down with a picture of Fenway behind her. I think Drob is trying to set a strong foundation for all the slizzy slaying he’ll be doing at BC, all he needs is a picture with Kelly. I can see bitches looking at his default now… “That gorgeous chick is in a picture with Derek, he must be good looking, I wanna hang out with him!”
Thursday, August 5, 2010
You're on the clock... Rodgers or Brees?
Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers
- Rodgers has spent five years learning head coach Mike McCarthy's quarterback-friendly offense. He has shown improvement in each of the last two years. His 2010 final stats: 4,434 passing yards (fourth in the NFL), 30 passing touchdowns (fourth) and seven interceptions (tied for second fewest).
Between Rodgers and Brees, passing yardage is probably a push. Passing TDs could slightly favor the vet, but Rodgers makes up for it with his legs. The Cal product ran for 316 yards and five touchdowns last year. He scored four times on the ground in '08. Brees has just three rushing touchdowns since joining the Saints in 2006.
- Few teams can match New Orleans' offense. Green Bay is one of them. Ryan Grant is a good lead back, and they have five solid options in the receiving game: Greg Jennings, Donald Driver, James Jones, Jordy Nelson, Jermichael Finley. Their offensive line showed improvement in the second half last year, and they spent a first-round draft pick on tackle Bryan Bulaga.
- A minor note: Rodgers is younger, bigger and could be hungrier after coming up short in the playoffs last year. He has shown the ability to make adjustments on the fly (example, holding on to the ball too long last year). Brees turned 31 earlier this year, is smaller and is coming off a Super Bowl season. Will he have the same fire?
Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints
- He completed a career-best 70.6 percent of his passes in 2009, which is insane by the way. Brees is the general of a high-powered offense, much like Rodgers is, but the Purdue product tossed four more touchdown passes than Rodgers did in 27 fewer attempts in only 15 games last year. Some point to Rodgers' five rushing scores in '09, which combined with his 30 TD passes was still one less than Brees' total number of touchdowns.
- Brees threw for 4,388 yards and 34 touchdowns a year ago, one in which he attempted (514) his lowest number of attempts as the Saints' starter in four years. His efficiency went through the roof last year. Rodgers' career best accuracy rate was 64.7 percent, last season, which would be the second worst of Brees' career as a Saint.
No quarterback has topped Brees when it comes to pushing the ball downfield - he has eclipsed 8.0 average yards per attempt in three of his four seasons with New Orleans, including a career-best 8.5 yards per throw last season.
- While Green Bay's line improved dramatically last year, their offensive tackles are ancient, and their top backup is a rookie. Rodgers has been sacked 84 times in his last 32 regular-season starts. Brees: 36 times. Rodgers has shown to be durable the past two years and play through pain, but it's hard to forget the memories of him being constantly hurt in his early years.
- Brees has a longer history of performing at an elite level. No matter how well Rodgers does in the cold and snow of Lambeau Field, Brees has the luxury of playing at least half of his games indoors.
Fantasy Football - Wide Receiver Busts
Wide receivers
Dwayne Bowe | Kansas City Chiefs | ADP: 5th round
Bowe's four-game suspension last year skews his '09 stats. Still, the final numbers aren't great, least of all for a No. 1 WR. He caught 47 passes for only 589 yards and four scores in 11 games. At his best, in 2008, Bowe caught 86 passes for just 1,022 yards and seven TDs. Only 11.9 yards per catch is unimpressive. His yards-after-the-catch average has decreased two years running.
Now, there's a new OC in KC: Charlie Weis. From 2000 to '04, New England's offense under Weis only had one 1,000-yard receiver. They preferred to spread the ball around. This should be more of a run-first offense with Thomas Jones and Jamaal Charles. KC also has a few other receiving options to work in. Chris Chambers, Jerheme Urban, Dexter McCluster - all could steal some catches from Bowe. Bowe had issues last year with head coach Todd Haley and found himself in the dog house more often than not. It is believed the two have mended their relationship, but Haley is known to be a bit of a hothead. Also, the wideout could be facing a lengthy suspension should he again violate the league's substance-abuse policy.
No. 1 QB Matt Cassel had only 16 passing TDs last year; the previous year with New England, just 21. Bowe is not a scoring machine. Plus, he has to familiarize himself with a new offense. Bowe and Cassel need to improve their chemistry.
Fantasy value: Bowe is being drafted as a low-end No. 2, but he's more a stable choice as a midrange No. 3. There's little upside. Receptions are about all you can really count on. It's tough to say his numbers have a higher ceiling than those from his '08 season. Point-per-reception owners can value him as less of a bust.
Mike Wallace | Pittsburgh Steelers | ADP: 7th round
Wallace moves from the slot to No. 2 role and now faces potential for double-teams. A big-play threat, the second-year receiver now has to learn how to get free from a jam. Byron Leftwich will be the starting quarterback for four to six games, which severally limits Wallace's downfield potential. Unless he can make a lot of yardage after the catch, look for his 2009 19.4 yards-per-reception average to substantially decrease.
The Steelers plan to return to more of a ground game in 2010, another factor working against the Mississippi product. Pittsburgh's offensive line isn't strong enough to support a deep-passing game, and Wallace will be the first to suffer.
What kind of chemistry will he and Ben Roethlisberger share upon the embattled quarterback's return to the starting lineup?
Fantasy value: There are too many risks involved with making Wallace a seventh-round pick. He could easily fall into our overvalued list, but I feel he will simply flame out this year. Let someone else take the chance on him.
Santonio Holmes | New York Jets | ADP: 9th round
The former Pittsburgh Steeler is now in the Big Apple, but before he gets to showcase his skills, he'll have to sit the first four games of the season for off-the-field transgressions.
Knowing you will get at most 12 games from him - 10, really, as most leagues don't play into Week 17, and New York has a Week 7 bye - Holmes is being overvalued as well as having "bust" written all over him.
Holmes will have to get into game shape after his four-game rest. Chemistry with quarterback Mark Sanchez may not come easily, and it remains unclear exactly how Holmes will fit into their run-first system. Wide receivers Braylon Edwards and Jerricho Cotchery will remain involved, as will tight end Dustin Keller. Running back LaDainian Tomlinson is a threat out of the backfield that Sanchez will look to utilize, too. There is no substantial reason to believe Holmes will pick up where he left off in 2009 with Pittsburgh.
Fantasy value: A ninth-round ADP for Holmes is absurd. He shouldn't be considered until at least the 12th, and even then you're likely to garner similar production to what you can find on your waiver wire.
Tuesday, August 3, 2010
Fantasy Football - Quarterback Busts
Quarterbacks
Eli Manning | New York Giants | ADP: 8th round
He's no Peyton |
No doubt Eli has grown as a quarterback: In '09, career bests in completion percentage (62.3), passing yards (4,021), yards per attempt (7.9) and touchdown throws (27) highlighted his best statistical season. Steve E. Smith became his BFF, and Hakeem Nicks posted an optimistic rookie campaign.
What's the problem, then? The G-men will probably look to bring the focus back to Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw; both encountered injuries and ineptitude last year, and the Giants suffered for it. When all is right, Manning works off the ground game, not the other way around, so there probably isn't much upward movement for his statistical output. If they don't have to go downfield as much and his yards per attempt go down, the 4,000-yard plateau will probably elude him.
Fantasy value: We probably saw Eli's statistical best last year, and the Giants' typically run-first philosophy means you shouldn't bank on this line again. Maybe he can pass as a low-end No. 1, but you'll need to grab a backup soon after if you're forced to draft Manning in that role. He remains a top-flight No. 2, but don't overpay in fantasy for his real-life maturation.
Matt Leinart | Arizona Cardinals | ADP: 18th round
It's hard to call someone a bust when they're not being drafted in standard formats, but this is for the small contingent of people that still believe Leinart will develop into an NFL-caliber quarterback: Wake up!
At one point, I was a Leinart proponent. I've seen enough in his limited play at the pro level to realize that I was wrong. His arm is not strong enough, and Leinart's decision-making skills are not at a suitable level. His utter lack of mobility nearly reaches the statuesque depths of Drew Bledsoe. The former USC Trojan star has shown to have major flaws with his off-the-field maturity, as well. His career completion percentage is 55.7. Someone will inevitably point out Leinart's career-best 66.2 percent rate last year, but he chucked three picks and didn't find the end zone in 77 attempts.
Having arguably the best receiver in the NFL on his side can't hurt, but Arizona will likely make transition into a power-running team this year. Their offensive line is built for the ground game, and behind Fitzgerald there isn't a lot to be excited about after the departure of Anquan Boldin (Baltimore Ravens) this offseason. Derek Anderson is better suited for this offense, and it wouldn't surprise me at all if head coach Ken Whisenhunt made the switch at some point in the year.
Fantasy value: I understand I'm not going out on a limb here, but you can safely avoid Leinart on draft day. Definitely don't snag him as a No. 2; it's even hard to recommend him as a third quarterback even in the deepest of leagues.
Fantasy Football - WR Battles
Wide receivers
| Team | Projected winner | Primary competition | Lesser competition | Lesser competition | Lesser competition | Notes |
| Arizona Cardinals | Onrea Jones | Andre Roberts ® | Battle for No. 4 - Jones leading the way in minicamp | |||
| Baltimore Ravens | Donte' Stallworth | Mark Clayton | Demetrius Williams | Battle for No. 3; Stallworth and Clayton likely interchangeable | ||
| Buffalo Bills | James Hardy | Marcus Easley | Steve Johnson | Roscoe Parrish | Chad Jackson | Battle for No. 2-6; Easley a sleeper candidate |
| Carolina Panthers | Brandon LaFell ® | Dwayne Jarrett | Charly Martin | Kenny Moore | Dexter M. Jackson | LaFell vs. Jarrett for No. 2; No. 3-5 up for grabs among others |
| Chicago Bears | Devin Aromashodu | Earl Bennett | Rashied Davis | Juaquin Iglesias | DA should rotate in with the starters when Devin Hester is in the slot. Battle for all other spots | |
| Cincinnati Bengals | Jerome Simpson | Matt Jones | Jordan Shipley | Quan Cosby | Battle for No. 4 | |
| Cleveland Browns | Brian Robiskie | Joshua Cribbs | Chansi Stuckey | Bobby Engram | Carlton Mitchell ® | Battle for No. 2-4; Cribbs' role changes weekly - his rushing ability may separate him fantasy-wise |
| Dallas Cowboys | Dez Bryant ® (inj) | Patrick Crayton | Sam Hurd | Battle for No. 3-5 | ||
| Denver Broncos | Eddie Royal | Demaryius Thomas ® | Jabar Gaffney | Brandon Stokley | Brandon Lloyd/Eric Decker ® | Wide receiver by committee? All are probably interchangeable most weeks |
| Detroit Lions | Derrick Williams | Dennis Northcutt | Battle for No. 4 | |||
| Houston Texans | Kevin Walter | Jacoby Jones | David Anderson | Battle for No. 2; expecting Jones to make a very strong push - stay tuned | ||
| Indianapolis Colts | Pierre Garcon | Anthony Gonzalez (inj) | Austin Collie | Sam Giguere | All receivers are interchangeable any week. Expect Garcon to produce the most statistically | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | Mike Thomas | Jarett Dillard | Troy Williamson | Kassim Osgood | Tiquan Underwood | Battle for all |
| Miami Dolphins | Brian Hartline | Davone Bess | Greg Camarillo | Patrick Turner | Ryan Grice-Mullen | Battle for No. 2-6; probably interchangeable any given week |
| New England Patriots | Torry Holt | Sam Aiken | Battle for No. 4 | |||
| New York Giants | Hakeem Nicks | Mario Manningham | Sinorice Moss | Ramses Barden | Nicks and Manningham battling for No. 2; Moss and Barden battling for No. 4 | |
| New York Jets | Laveranues Coles | Brad Smith | David Clowney | Aundrae Allison | Battle for No. 3-5; will be reshuffled after Santonio Holmes (susp-4) returns | |
| Oakland Raiders | Chaz Schilens (inj) | Louis Murphy | Darrius Heyward-Bey | Jacoby Ford ® | Johnnie Lee Higgins/Todd Watkins | Battle for all, primarily No. 3-6 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | Antwaan Randle El | Arnaz Battle | Brandon London | Emmanuel Sanders ® | Battle for No. 3-5 | |
| San Diego Chargers | Craig Davis | Josh Reed | Battle for No. 4 (No. 3 while Vincent Jackson is out) | |||
| San Francisco 49ers | Jason Hill | Brandon Jones | Ted Ginn Jr. | Dominique Zeigler | Kyle Williams ® | Battle for No. 3-5 |
| Seattle Seahawks | Deion Branch | Golden Tate ® | Deon Butler | Ruvell Martin | Battle for No. 2-5 | |
| St. Louis Rams | Laurent Robinson | Brandon Gibson | Mardy Gilyard ® | Keenan Burton | Danny Amendola | Battle for No. 2-5 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Mike Williams ® | Arrelious Benn ® | Sammie Stroughter | Reggie Brown | Michael Clayton/Maurice Stovall | Battle for all - probably will be interchangeable much of the year |
| Tennessee Titans | Kenny Britt | Justin Gage | Lavelle Hawkins | Paul Williams | Damian Williams ® | Britt and Gage are interchangeable most weeks; No. 4 battle for Hawkins and the Williamses |
| Washington Redskins | Devin Thomas | Malcolm Kelly (inj) | Joey Galloway | Bobby Wade | Mike Furrey | Thomas and Kelly battling for No. 2; Wade, Galloway and Furrey battling for No. 4 |
Monday, August 2, 2010
Fantasy Football - Running Back Battles
| Team | Projected winner | Primary competition | Lesser competition | Lesser competition | Notes |
| Cleveland Browns | Montario Hardesty® (inj) | Jerome Harrison | James Davis | RBBC expected | |
| Houston Texans | Steve Slaton | Ben Tate ® | Arian Foster | Foster enters camp as the starter until Slaton is healthy; should be RBBC | |
| Minnesota Vikings | Ryan Moats | Albert Young | Darius Reynaud | This trio should battle for the third-down duties, but Adrian Peterson may win this role. | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | Mewelde Moore | Jonathan Dwyer ® | Isaac Redman | Battle for No. 2 | |
| San Francisco 49ers | Glen Coffee | Michael Robinson | Anthony Dixon ® | Battle for No. 2 | |
| Seattle Seahawks | Justin Forsett | Julius Jones | Leon Washington (inj) | Quinton Ganther | Should be RBBC once the dust settles |
| St. Louis Rams | Chris Ogbonnaya | Kenneth Darby | Expected to sign someone to compete with these two for backup job | ||
| Washington Redskins | Clinton Portis | Larry Johnson | Willie Parker | Ryan Torain | It's tough to call this a battle, because all three backs will likely have a rotational role. |
Sunday, August 1, 2010
Is Yahoo sports serious?
So I wake up this morning and follow my usual internet progressions... Facebook, Barstoolsports, than Yahoo, where I stumbled upon this comical and ironic photo. The article was titled "Making Amends" (see it here). The article goes on to speak of how Roethlisberger is on his way to redemption in Pittsburgh. My question... Is yahoo fucking serious? The guy showed up to training camp, in a city that loves him, where he gets a shit load load of money. How is that making amends... If Brady went out raped a few chicks and got suspended, Boston fan's would be pissed that he would be suspended. We couldn't give a fuck about his character. Heck, I'd rather have him raping chicks then him advancing his homo-erotic modeling career. As much as league officials want to say it does, what happens off the field doesn't matter. If an athlete wins your city championships than your city will support him. Big Ben didn't make amends when he showed up to training camp because he doesn't have to make amends. Only Brady has more rings as a QB than Big Ben, whats not to like. Meanwhile, Big Ben "makes amends" by trying to cop a feel of the cute blonde chick but accidentally fingerbangs a young Ron Weasley. Sunday, June 13, 2010
Just Being Negative - Brady Won't Win Another Super Bowl With the Pats
Article posted by Greg. *Disclaimer: Greg's views are not always necessarily supported entirely by the rest of the Ultimate Boston staff.
