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Thursday, June 24, 2010

Draft Day Special: What Will The C's Do?

Still bleeding in the wake of last week's gut-wrenching Game 7 loss, Danny Ainge and his Boston Celtics organization will need to pull their act together in time for tonight's NBA Draft. The Celtics currently have the 19th selection in the first round. Will they use that to take a player?

Reports in recent days have said that Danny Ainge hopes to move the pick in the interest of acquiring more veteran help that can improve the team this year. The general consensus is that whoever they draft at the #19 slot, it will take them a few years to be ready to make effective contributions on a championship-caliber team. So is trading the pick and acquiring a veteran the right move?

In my opinion, I'm not so sure it is. To improve this team substantially, I think the Celtics need to make every effort to splash the free agent market come July 1. What would my plan of action be? Attack Joe Johnson. Hard.

You might realize initially -- we can't afford Johnson. He'd send us over the salary cap. And you'd be right. And this is where Danny Ainge needs to sit down and have a talk with his captain, Paul Pierce. Pierce is the X-factor in the Celtics landing a second-tier free agent this offseason. Thanks to the NBA's strange salary cap rules, Boston could work their way around cap issues and land a guy like Johnson. Here's a brief run-down of the NBA salary conditions.

There is a hard cap in the NBA, and there is also a luxury on salaries going over that cap. You can't, however, go over the cap at will. The only way a team can sign a player that brings them over the salary cap is if that player is returning to the same team. If the money is being spent on a returning player -- the cap is unlimited on that negotiation.

So here's where Pierce and Allen come in the biggest. Allen re-signs at a lower price, whatever they see fit. He becomes Boston's sixth man, the true definition of instant bench offense. Probably the best sixth man in the NBA. Then, Paul Pierce opts out of the final year in his contract. Wait, what? Hear me out. Ainge needs to have this talk with Paul Pierce. Get him to opt out, give his word he won't leave. Pierce opts out -- $19 million off the cap. They now can afford that second tier free agent -- Joe Johnson. Johnson signs and becomes our starting #2. Once Johnson signs on, Pierce signs back on; you can go over the cap to sign a returning player. Boston pulls the strings, adds a premier young shooting guard, and is back in contention for the title. Could this ever work? Paul Pierce's main motive is winning another championship. They all have close relationships with the higher-ups in the organization. I believe this could definitely work. Will it? Who knows.

I've made it clear that I believe the above plan of action is the way they should go about improving the team. That plan is unrelated to the upcoming draft tonight, though. So, what do I think they should do? If they can follow through on a free agent negotiation as described above, I say draft the rookie. We've seen mid-to-late first rounders turn into stars (Rajon Rondo was a #21 pick) for the Celtics. This #19 might be no different. Rather than trading it for a washed-up veteran, make every effort to pull the strings on a free agent signing. That's how Boston will compete for another title.

7 comments:

  1. Not gonna work, if ray leaves, and pierce opts out we'd be about 15 million under the cap... then you resign allen for say around the mid level exception (which is being generous allen will prob want around 9 or 10 mil) that leaves you with 9 million, not nearly enough to sign a top level free agent, like Johnson... So its gonna have to be two out of three of Pierce, Allen or a top free agent

    ReplyDelete
  2. Oh wow, I didn't realize we were that short in cap space. Well that certainly changes the equation, but I guess theoretically you could sign Johnson first for close to 15 then sign Pierce and Allen right? Cuz they'd both be returning?

    ReplyDelete
  3. hold on i need to some more research on that, but what i heard on the radio a couple weeks ago was that it gonna have to be allen and pierce, allen and free agent, or pierce and a free agent.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hmm interesting. Yeah see if you can find anything. If I had to choose one of those options though, I think I'd hafta choose Pierce and a free agent. You needa transition out of the Big Three at some point and I think it makes more sense to replace one at a time instead of dumping all three at once and falling into a rebuilding phase.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Ok well pierce has the option to opt out -19 mil

    Free Agents:
    Ray Allen -18 mil
    Marquis Daniels -1.6 mil
    Michael Finley -2.5 mil
    Nate Robinson -5 mil
    Brian Scalabrine -3 mil
    Shelden Williams ->1 mil
    Tony Allen -2.5 mil

    Sheed may retire so possibly -6 mil

    Currently they are 37 mil over the cap, but come the start of free agency they will be 21 mil under

    So what you said acctually, barring any other ridiculous salary cap rules could work... so they'll have 21 mil to use on NEW free agents... what i said in my last post was wrong, allen's money wouldn't matter (or anyone else who was on the team this year) as long as they sign him AFTER they sign their NEW free agents

    However, they cant put that 21 mil all towards a single free agent because thy're prob not going to bring back all of their leaving free agents, so look for them to sign some role players plus a second tier free agent

    P.S. NONE of this happens unless pierce opts out

    ReplyDelete
  6. Useful stats there. Makes sense. Yeah, they can get players but they need to sign them all before re-signing their current players. And yes, if Pierce doesn't opt out, then we'd only have 2 million to spend on new players, right? Which will mean we're gonna hafta spend money on our returning guys,

    ReplyDelete
  7. Ya thats all right, but their current players will be in a bad position because there is a resigning period before free agency, so the celtics will have first dibs on all the players leaving, but if they sign them then the money counnts to the cap, so they'll have to wait till after they sign new free agents to resign any of the leaving free agents listed above, and that may backfire, because other teams can negotiate with them at the same time so while they're off signing joe johnson, ray allen might go sign with the heat or something, and they can't use that money they would have used on allen to sign someone new because they dont have bird rights, so they'd just be losing allen with nothing in return, and that could be the same story for nate, quis, t.a., etc.

    ReplyDelete

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